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Snap Judgement Notre Dame/Washington

October 4th, 2009 by Curt Popejoy

That was one of the most entertaining games I’ve seen in awhile.  Both teams played a ton of great football on the offensive side of the ball and neither played much defense.  Let me say this, I do not think Jake Locker is NFL ready.  Not even close.  I think that another year with his new coaches and his new system, and I have no problem putting him among the top QB prospects for the 2011 draft.  But this year, he’s just not in the conversation.

On the other hand Jimmy Clausen is NFL ready.  He throws a great deep ball, plays in a pro style offense and has really grown into(meaning physically) a bigtime quarterback.  That Notre Dame team is deep at the skills positions, but it’s Clausen that makes it go.

Back to the game.  This one had so much offense, you have to realize the Fighting Irish only punted twice.  This was a case where both team’s defense played tentative all game long and the offenses exploited it.  You can’t fault the offenses in this game, but anytime more than 80 points are scored the focus for next week for both teams has to be why neither seemed to be able to stop anyone.

Overall a fun game to watch and just puts me more on the Jimmy Clausen bandwagon.

Snap Judgement Miami/Virginia Tech

September 29th, 2009 by Curt Popejoy

I hate to say I told you so, but I told you so.  I tweeted yesterday about this game with a very interesting fact.  In college football a team that blocks a punt wins 88% of the time.  And no team has blocked more punts than Frank Beamers Virginia Tech team.

Well lo and behold, the Hokies block a punt for a touchdown, and it carries them to a dominant win over the Hurricanes.  This game was far more one sided than I expected.  The Hokies were able to come out and establish the run game early and maintained it in a game that took place in a steady rain.

On the other side, the Miami run game got stuffed in a hurry and they just could never sustain any drives.  Any Heisman votes Jacory Harris got last week, he probably lost as he was never able to get in any sort of rhythm.  Granted Va. Tech QB Tyrod Taylor didn’t have great numbers either but considering the weather, it was to be expected.

This game was a great example of how a physical team can negate the advantage of speed.  A big part of that came from the weather, but make no mistake the Hokies came out to beat the Hurricanes down, and they did just that.  The most interesting part of this will be how to does the U rebound this week when the Sooners come to town.  Did what Tech did to them linger or will they rebound?  Regardless a team that was all over the national spotlight, not only for the team, but for a quarterback who was all over Heisman ballots, went into a hostile environment and laid an egg the size of the Orange Bowl.

Snap Judgement Cal/Oregon

September 27th, 2009 by Curt Popejoy

Ya know, I was in the midst of writing an article about how Ole Miss was the most overrated team in the country.   Then Cal goes and mucks that all up for me.  Sorry Cal Bears but I said in my preview if you went in complacent, you could be in for trouble and not only were you in trouble, you got schooled.  I give huge props to the Oregon coaching staff.  They had their team ready and the the Ducks simply out played, out executed, out hustled, out hit, out everything’d the Bears.

And speaking of the Bears.  Shame on me for praising your defense.  You laid down like dogs.  You let a backup running back run all over you, generated almost no pass rush, and allowed Jeremiah Masoli to complete 84% of his passes and 3 touchdowns.

I plan to watch this game again, because I just have to see more specifically what went wrong, but on the surface, it seemed to me that one team really wanted to win and another team just expected to win.  The PAC-10 is still wide open, and Cal could not have done less for their cause than to gaff today.

Another big Weekend in college football

September 26th, 2009 by Curt Popejoy

Football is upon us fanatics.  This week, I decided to flip the script a little.  I normally do my breakdowns of the games I think you have to watch and why.  I still plan to do a little of that, but this weekend, it’s going to be less about the games, and more about the players.  I have a 2 pack of games for you all, but I have my 6 guys you can’t miss for this weekend of football.

My game of the week, and everyone’s game of the week should be (9)Miami traveling to play (11) Virginia Tech.  Miami has been the biggest surprise of the season and have overachieved behind Heisman frontrunner Jacory Harris at quarterback.  But I think the forgotten group in Miami’s asscension is the defense.  A unit that really didn’t have much in the way of expectations has showed themselves to be stout and athletic.  Anytime you travel to Blacksburg, defense is the buzzword.  Tech’s defense has been good for a long time, but this year they have been much more yielding.

The winner here is going to be the team that can control the line of scrimmage.  Both lines have played well for both teams, but for Miami, they’ve shown an explosive offense, while Tech has been less flashy more of a grind it out on the ground and get that run game going to keep Harris off the field.  On paper, Miami looks to be a much more talented team but when you play in Blacksburg anything can happen.  I expect a hard fought physical football game, and an upset looming

The only other game I want to talk about is Cal at Oregon.  I think most people left Oregon for dead, after their loss to Boise State but they’ve rallied, beating Purdue and Utah.  Cal on the other hand is undefeated and have their eyes on the prize and that’s the PAC-10 title anda BCS bowl birth.  Cal is always been loaded on offense, but this year their defense has really stepped up his game.  For Oregon to be successful running back LaMichael James filling in for suspended back LaGarrett Blount is going to have to really get things moving and that means the offensive line is going to have their best game of the year.  Oh, and if Masoli has another game like he did against Minnesota this one will be over quick.

Speaking of running backs, Cal happens to have a pretty good one themselves in Jahvid Best.  With some injuries on offense, Cal is going to ride Best as far at they can. If Cal comes out complacent, they could be in for big trouble.

Who I’ll be keeping an eye on

Ryan Matthews, RB Fresno State-Probably the most explosive back in the country right now, he’s the only hope of the Bulldogs to upset the Bearcats.  Cinci’s defense is solid, bu Matthews is averaging 9 ypc.  Fresno State need to get him going, and keep him on the field, to keep that explosive Bearcat offense on the sidelines.

Colt McCoy, QB Texas-McCoy has been less than stellar thus far this year, so I am hoping to see him open things up some and really start putting up the kind of numbers we expect of him.

Ryan Mallett, QB Arkansas-Mallett has been such a huge get for the Razorbacks, and you can see him each week get better and better.  This week, Alabama poses a huge potential roadblock in his development but in reality has could seriously put himself on the national map.

Arrelious Benn, WR Illinois-After coming into the season under much hype as one of the top pass catchers, he’s laid a massive egg.  He went catchless against Illinois State! He’s got a huge stage this weekend against Ohio State before his stock falls any further.

Jacory Harris, QB Miami-I realize this might be overly obvious, but this really is a make or break week for him.  If he can lead his Hurricane team past the Hokies on the road, it’ll cement him at the top of the Heisman polls everywhere.

Tim Tebow, QB Florida-Make no mistake, Tebow didn’t have a great game last week against Tennessee.  Granted the Gators won, and that’s all that matters, but on some level if you are Tebow, hoping for a second National Title, a second Heisman Trophy and a shot at being a high draft pick it’s not about what you did, but what you are going to do next.

Another blog about Michael Crabtree(but one you probably haven’t read)

September 24th, 2009 by Curt Popejoy

I know, I know.  Everyone and their dog is writing about  Michale Crabtree.  Or at least I assume they are.  I honestly haven’t checked around, but I know how stories like this grow legs and right now the Crabtree saga is first and foremost on a lot of people’s minds.  Not mine, but a lot of people.

To be completely honest, I am over Crabtree.   Not because I no longer like him as a player, but I’m over the drama.  According the Adam Schefter at ESPN, it is past any sort of deadline to trade Crabtree, and if he isn’t under contract with the Niners by the 19th of November, he cannot sign this year, and will go back into the draft.  But there’s sort of loophole to that says next March 2010 they have a small window to try and trade him again, before the 2010 draft, where he’s be another prospect.   Using all the math at my disposal, meaning my digits, that looks to be around 2 months to get him under contract or he’ll probably never be a Niner.

A couple of points I find fascinating in this before I give my perspective.  The 49ers are winning.  I’m not sure how(other than Frank Gore) but they are winning football games.  This works against Crabtree and any sort of “you need me” angle he may be playing.  Another observation is just how much the Texas Tech Red Raiders could have used him last Saturday against the Longhorns.  You left friends on that team Crabtree to chance NFL millions.  Crabtree’s image has take a big, albeit temporary nose dive in the eyes of football fans everywhere.  The Niners appear to be absolutely content with the idea that Crabtree won’t be on the team.  And finally, there are a lot of rookie wide outs in the league right now contributing to their teams.

Now, this all would lead one to believe I am going to just blast Crabtree for what he is doing.  Surprise because I’m not.  And here’s why.

I have no problem with Crabtree not wanting to be a Niner, and let’s be honest that’s what this is.  It’s not about a few bucks in NFL terms.  Crabtree doesn’t want to play for them.  We all have to go to jobs we may or may not love.  Crabtree is exercising his right to not go to a job he doesn’t want to.  Is that such a bad thing?

Everyone is all over Crabtree because he was chosen by the Niners, and therefore he holds some sort of obligation to just do what they say.  That couldn’t be further from the truth.  The only side in this with any real obligation is the Niners front office to try and sign him.  Oh, one point.  I am very impressed with the Niner front office not to cave into Crabtree’s demands for fear of the backlash it would get from the league.   But at the same time I am glad Crabtree is testing it.

There is no professional sports league where the players in it have less power than the NFL.  This is because their business model is constructed around the tenant that no player is bigger than the league.  Crabtree is making himself bigger than the league and even if he fails you have to appreciate what he’s trying to do.  Make it a players league not a team league.

I full expect Crabtree to end up back in the 2010 draft.  I am not prepared to speculate about where he’ll be drafted, but I will be day one for sure.  he’s too talented not too and great wide receivers are just too hard to find.  No, he won’t be a top ten pick, but in all likelyhood he’ll end up on a pretty good football team.  And he’ll get paid.

Oh, and what’s with all the chest thumping from former players chastising Crabtree?  Rodney “roid” Harrison called him the biggest idiot in the NFL.  He also said that he’s going to get blackballed.  What a crock.  When Michael Crabtree signs be it this year with San Fran, or next year somewhere else, his teammates will welcome him with open arms.  It’s what we do.  We forgive.  We let sociopaths and murders on the field and  welcome them in, they can do the same for Crabtree.

If I could have been Crabtree I’d have never tested the system like this.  I’d have signed my contract and started playing football.  But that doesn’t change the fact I admire what Crabtree is doing.  The only way this doesn’t work out of him is if he’s unable to ever recoup the money he’s lost.  Don’t kid yourselves folks, if Crabtree goes into next year’s draft, guys like Mardy Gilyard and Dez Bryant will have a hard time ending up better than him.  He’s incredibly talented and there’s no denying that.

I think where fans miss the boat on this is they don’t think about Crabtree playing football as his job.  Put yourself in his shoes but use the job you have now.  If you were offered another job, doing what you do now, but for a company you didn’t want to work for would you do it?  I suppose it would defend.  I think the assumption that everyone is operating on is, Crabtree needs the money.  Apparently he doesn’t.  So if the money isn’t na issue, he has every right to wait for the employeer he wants to hire him.

As for what I think will happen.  I see almost no chance that Crabtree ends up signing with the Niners by the deadline, and there’s no way if he goes back in the draft, the Niners draft him so let’s put aside the thoughts of him being a Niner.  A real possibility is next March the San Fransisco front office trades his rights to another team needing a wide out, and not wanting the talent on the market and not wanting to risk missing Crabtree in the draft. A final possibilty is no one bites and Crabtree becomes the top wide out in his second consecutive draft.  Is he a first round pick if that happens?  I suppose the talent around him in the first round will effect that some, but looking at who’s going to be on the board next April, I would fully expect him to be drafted in the first round.  This isn’t a Bo Jackson situation we are talking about.

I understand why the NFL is in a panic about this. The league has always be aligned so that the league holds all the cards, and the players are just along for the ride.  Crabtree could change some of that, especially with the potential of an uncapped year coming up.

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