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Scouting Report
From a physical standpoint, Stafford certainly looks like an NFL QB, Other than being a little short. He's got a strong build, a howitzer for an arm, carries his weight well and doesn't look soft. Whilst he doesn't look overly athletic he does a nice job extending plays, and can make all the throws on the run. This has a lot to do with a nice compact quick release. On the downside his arm makes him a risk taker, and sometimes rather than make good check downs and reads, he forces throws. Unless you're Brett Favre, that's a really bad thing in the NFL. Three years as a starter against SEC defenses makes him easily the most seasoned of all the QB's in this draft, but his problem with consistency is still a red flag. He's always shown himself to be an intense competitor and a leader on the field, and this should help gain the confidence of his future teammates.
Draft Status
Most pundits have Stafford inked in for the no. 1 pick to Detroit. While I agree, if they can't work a deal for Jay Cutler they probably will pull the trigger, I'm not sure the spot and the money that goes with it is warranted. Stafford doesn't show the poise or consistency Matt Ryan showed in college and carried into the NFL. He's certainly got all the physical tools a team looks for, and in a down QB class that spells top pick.
Final analysis
Coming soon...
Reminds me of: Aaron Rogers
Unfortunately, Stafford isn't going to get all those years to sit and learn and then come out and play when he's ready. He's going to get thrown to the Lions, so to speak, and be in the line of fire right off the bat. This won't bode well for a player who has a tendency to lapse. I think Stafford has a ton of potential, and could end up a player like Rogers, but without the luxury of sitting on the bench he's going to take his lumps. You hope that doesn't stunt his potential as we've seen happen so often with other QB Prospects.
Red Flags: Consistency
Scouting Report written by Curtis Popejoy |
